Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 65.855224 74.537704 83.423513 93.164287 103.510014 114.140494 125.859425
2025-11-16 52.518454 64.958556 78.278528 93.464526 110.169923 127.870861 147.932256
2025-11-23 43.654889 57.971787 73.847139 92.472813 113.467770 136.173181 162.366735
2025-11-30 38.182484 53.994322 72.063086 93.767256 118.708747 146.108037 178.137725
2025-12-07 33.974138 50.943562 70.873172 95.310174 123.854435 155.619599 193.152538
2025-12-14 29.199867 46.698935 67.862312 94.368445 125.839988 161.308693 203.650819
2025-12-21 24.702563 42.349414 64.358488 92.519398 126.494904 165.251898 211.968933
2025-12-28 23.206554 41.746358 65.355268 95.988129 133.325036 176.240671 228.280291
2026-01-04 21.212452 40.272871 65.105178 97.808978 138.097676 184.769555 241.709719
2026-01-11 18.517832 37.572368 63.088010 97.279788 139.916899 189.744388 250.946435
2026-01-18 16.150561 35.110643 61.214108 96.790807 141.672500 194.556726 259.921609
2026-01-25 14.392270 33.382942 60.200022 97.300510 144.576921 200.675586 270.381349
2026-02-01 12.337667 31.012408 58.201350 96.477345 145.813037 204.819113 278.570098
2026-02-08 10.792013 29.293977 57.004521 96.627053 148.212291 210.330305 288.361915
2026-02-15 9.109456 27.134703 55.039107 95.645103 149.097857 213.943195 295.842951
2026-02-22 8.193970 26.217497 54.815125 96.958868 152.870275 221.049605 307.483174
2026-03-01 7.428012 25.483663 54.809181 98.531783 156.950043 228.517932 319.551195
2026-03-08 6.181571 23.644765 53.022725 97.572179 157.700828 231.849430 326.608860
2026-03-15 4.908677 21.515345 50.647942 95.688184 157.169864 233.536920 331.632030
2026-03-22 4.763343 21.811291 52.108560 99.222282 163.749468 244.069206 347.395350
2026-03-29 4.334945 21.402472 52.403921 101.077029 168.104933 251.825018 359.785545
2026-04-05 3.564458 20.040230 51.068244 100.538016 169.253255 255.544608 367.239450
2026-04-12 2.895917 18.768297 49.800338 100.039938 170.415343 259.253098 374.659180